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Water Quality Evaluation and Prediction Using Irrigation Indices, Artificial Neural Networks, and Partial Least Square Regression Models for the Nile River, Egypt

202370 citationsOpen accessUniversity of Sadat City

In plain language

This research evaluated and predicted the quality of Nile River water in Egypt for agricultural purposes, recognising the importance of water quality alongside quantity for basic human needs. The study used several irrigation water quality indices (IWQIs), Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Partial Least Square Regression (PLSR) models, and Geographic Information System (GIS) tools. Physicochemical parameters were measured at 51 surface-water locations. The findings indicated dominant Ca-HCO3 and mixed Ca-Mg-Cl-SO4 water types. Approximately 98% of the samples showed no restriction for irrigation, with 2% falling into the low restriction category. The ANN and PLSR models demonstrated high accuracy in predicting IWQIs and other indices, proving effective for decision-making.

Key takeaways

  • The study evaluated and predicted Nile River water quality for agricultural use in Egypt.
  • Physicochemical analysis revealed dominant Ca-HCO3 and mixed Ca-Mg-Cl-SO4 water types in the Nile River.
  • Approximately 98% of the sampled Nile River water was found to be suitable for irrigation with no restrictions.
  • Artificial Neural Networks and Partial Least Square Regression models accurately predicted irrigation water quality indices.
  • An integrated approach combining physicochemical data, water quality indices, and predictive models offers a comprehensive water quality assessment.

Why it matters

Water quality is vital for agriculture and human well-being, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. This research provides advanced tools for monitoring and predicting water suitability for irrigation, enabling better management of water resources and supporting sustainable agricultural practices in critical areas like the Nile River basin.

Commercialisation angle

The developed Artificial Neural Network and Partial Least Square Regression models offer practical tools for water resource management organisations and agricultural bodies. These models can be used to predict irrigation water quality, assisting in decision-making for water allocation and agricultural planning. This applied research provides near-market tools that could enhance sustainable water use and agricultural productivity.

AI-generated from the published abstract. Always read the original work before citing.

Abstract

Water quality is identically important as quantity in terms of meeting basic human needs. Therefore, evaluating the surface-water quality and the associated hydrochemical characteristics is essential for managing water resources in arid and semi-arid environments. Therefore, the present research was conducted to evaluate and predict water quality for agricultural purposes across the Nile River, Egypt. For that, several irrigation water quality indices (IWQIs) were used, along with an artificial neural network (ANN), partial least square regression (PLSR) models, and geographic information system (GIS) tools. The physicochemical parameters, such as T °C, pH, EC, TDS, K+, Na+, Mg2+, Ca2+, Cl−, SO42−, HCO3−, CO32−, and NO3−, were measured at 51 surface-water locations. As a result, the ions contents were the following: Ca2+ > Na+ > Mg2+ > K+ and HCO3− > Cl− > SO42− > NO3− > CO32−, reflecting Ca-HCO3 and mixed Ca-Mg-Cl-SO4 water types. The irrigation water quality index (IWQI), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), sodium percentage (Na%), soluble sodium percentage (SSP), permeability index (PI), and magnesium hazard (MH) had mean values of 92.30, 1.01, 35.85, 31.75, 72.30, and 43.95, respectively. For instance, the IWQI readings revealed that approximately 98% of the samples were inside the no restriction category, while approximately 2% of the samples fell within the low restriction area for irrigation. The ANN-IWQI-6 model’s six indices, with R2 values of 0.999 for calibration (Cal.) and 0.945 for validation (Val.) datasets, are crucial for predicting IWQI. The rest of the models behaved admirably in terms of predicting SAR, Na%, SSP, PI, and MR with R2 values for the Cal. and validation Val. of 0.999. The findings revealed that ANN and PLSR models are effective methods for predicting irrigation water quality to assist decision plans. To summarize, integrating physicochemical features, WQIs, ANN, PLSR, models, and GIS tools to evaluate surface-water suitability for irrigation offers a complete image of water quality for sustainable development.

Research topics

  • Water Quality and Pollution Assessment
  • Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
  • Groundwater and Isotope Geochemistry

Sustainable Development Goals

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DOI: 10.3390/w15122244

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