TOPSIS-Based MCDM Approach for Prioritizing Biomass Resources for Sustainable Bioenergy Development in Ethiopia: Techno-Economic and Availability Assessment

Abstract

Bioenergy development from biomass resources requires multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods to rank and select suitable feedstock alternatives. Conventional TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) is a widely used MCDM method that assists in selecting alternatives based on their relative closeness to the ideal solution. Unlike the existing TOPSIS, which provides only an overall ranking of alternatives, this study proposes a framework that integrates TOPSIS ranking with threshold-based performance classification and mapping to enable a more comprehensive assessment and support decision-making, thereby improving the interpretability of complex multi-criteria decision problems. The proposed framework was applied to evaluate, rank, and select eight potential biomass feedstocks in Ethiopia by integrating feedstock availability, technological readiness, and economic criteria. The ranking results indicate that molasses is the most suitable, followed by non-edible oil crops (castor seed, Ethiopian mustard, and Jatropha curcas) and lignocellulosic residues (cereal, cane, and coffee residues), while water hyacinth ranked lowest. The results were mapped into a strategic implementation timeline, with molasses prioritized for the short term, non-edible oil crops for the medium term, and lignocellulosic residues for the long term in Ethiopia’s bioenergy development. The study further supports decision-makers in strategic energy planning and facilitates bioenergy development.