`This is our country and somehow, we have to make it work’: a sequential explanatory mixed-methods study of the enablers of non-migration and return migration in a cohort of Nigerian medical doctors and dentists

Abstract

BACKGROUND: While many studies have explored the drivers of health-worker emigration, there is limited understanding of the factors that potentially encourage them to remain or return after migration. OBJECTIVES: We explored three interrelated questions: what factors encouraged some members of the study population to remain in Nigeria?; what circumstances might encourage those intending to migrate to reconsider their plans?; and what conditions could encourage those who have already emigrated to consider returning? METHODS: We conducted a sequential explanatory mixed-methods study among a cohort of Nigerian-trained doctors and dentists. In the quantitative phase, 274 cohort members completed a structured survey assessing drivers of migration. In the qualitative phase, 50 participants across three migration status groups (emigrated, intending to migrate, and not intending to migrate) were interviewed. Thematic analysis was conducted. RESULTS: Overall, 49.3% (135/274) of the cohort had already migrated within 15 years of qualifying, while 63.6% (82/139) of those still in Nigeria expressed an intention to migrate. Qualitative findings reinforced the quantitative results, highlighting shared potential enablers of staying (among those intending to migrate) or returning (among already migrated), including improved security, economic stability, better remuneration, stronger healthcare infrastructure, and enhanced training opportunities. Most of those who had already migrated expressed a willingness to return, though often as a long-term plan. Those with no intention to migrate cited a sense of duty and patriotism, family responsibilities, thriving businesses, and professional or age-related factors as reasons for staying back. CONCLUSION: This study offers actionable insights to inform policies on health-worker migration.