Risk Factors of Recently Discovered Type II Diabetic Patients at Sohag University Hospitals

Abstract

Introduction: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) significantly increases the risk of serious complications. By 2030, it is predicted that Egypt would have the biggest increases in its prevalence. Aim: is to assess the risk factors for T2D in Egyptian populations and try to design a more convenient Egyptian risk score for susceptibility to T2D. Patients & Methods: This study was conducted at Sohag University Hospital including 377 participants divided into 2 groups; study group included 161 recently discovered diabetics & healthy group 216 persons. Results: certain age groups, females, steroid intake, carbohydrate or fat diets, sedentary life, hypertension, family history of T2D, HCV, BMI > 25, those with waist circumference for males ≥ 90cm & for females ≥ 85cm were independent predictors for Univariate &Multivariate regression analysis of risk factors for recently discovered DM. A score of ≥13points indicated a high risk for DM. The (ROC)curve showing the performance of the risk score in foretelling DM in the population studied ((AUC) = 0.82, 95% CI 0.78 :0.86) and cutoff value >13 has sensitivity of 70% and specificity of 85%. Conclusion: At the current study, A more convenient DM risk scoring model is designed specifically and appropriately for Egyptians. A score > 13 indicating a high risk for DM.