Prevalence of Liver Fibrosis and Cirrhosis in High-Risk and Hospital-Based Populations in Morocco: A Systematic Review and Narrative Synthesis

Abstract

Background: Liver diseases are an increasing public health concern in Morocco; reliable national population-based estimates of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in Morocco are currently unavailable. Existing evidence is largely limited to selected high-risk groups and hospital-based cohorts. Generating reliable prevalence data is crucial for designing evidence-based screening pathways, targeting high-risk groups and informing prevention and treatment policies. Objectives: Our aim was to comprehensively review studies on the prevalence of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in Morocco, focusing on characterizing study populations, specifically high-risk populations and hospital-based cohorts, diagnostic methods and thresholds used. The review also summarizes hospital-based cirrhosis cohorts without merging them with prevalence estimates, and identifies gaps in the literature, particularly the absence of population-based prevalence studies and national epidemiological data in Morocco. Methods: The study systematically reviewed literature up to 26 October 2025, including studies conducted in Morocco among high-risk populations or hospital-based cirrhosis cohorts, using multiple databases. Two reviewers independently screened and extracted data, assessing bias with the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) checklist. Due to heterogeneity in study populations and diagnostic approaches, a narrative synthesis was performed. Hospital-based cohorts were analyzed separately to provide contextual information and were not included in prevalence estimates. Results: From 1198 records, four Moroccan studies providing prevalence data on liver fibrosis and cirrhosis were included, primarily involving patients with hepatitis C, HIV, or rheumatoid arthritis. Additionally, three hospital-based cirrhosis cohorts were incorporated for a contextual analysis of disease severity and complications. In total, seven studies were included, with prevalence and hospital-based data analyzed separately to ensure clarity. Conclusions: Current evidence on liver disease in Morocco is limited but suggests a significant burden among high-risk groups. The findings highlight major gaps in national epidemiological data and underscore the urgent need for comprehensive nationwide data and improved diagnostic tools to guide effective screening, prevention, and resource allocation.