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article · Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development

Leveraging variational autoencoders and recurrent neural networks for demand forecasting in supply chain management: A case study

202423 citationsOpen accessAbdelmalek Essaâdi University

In plain language

Demand forecasting is essential for commercial enterprises seeking to optimise stock levels and meet customer needs efficiently. This research investigates the use of generative artificial intelligence models for forecasting demand, specifically comparing Long Short-Term Memory networks with Variational Autoencoders to identify the better performing approach. By evaluating the variance between actual and predicted demand, the findings confirm that Long Short-Term Memory networks successfully capture latent features and underlying trends in data. The investigation also examines computational efficiency and scalability, aiming to deliver practical guidance for businesses seeking to deploy advanced forecasting methods. Ultimately, the results indicate that Long Short-Term Memory networks offer a viable means to improve demand predictions, supporting more effective decision-making in inventory management and broader resource allocation.

Key takeaways

  • Long Short-Term Memory networks were compared against Variational Autoencoders to establish the optimal model for demand forecasting.
  • Long Short-Term Memory models effectively capture underlying trends and latent features within demand datasets.
  • The analysis addresses computational efficiency and scalability to guide the corporate deployment of advanced forecasting tools.
  • Enhanced forecasting accuracy assists enterprises in improving decision-making for inventory control and resource allocation.

Why it matters

Accurate forecasting prevents both stock shortages and expensive overstocking. Demonstrating how artificial intelligence tools such as recurrent neural networks can reliably predict market demand helps enterprises streamline their supply chains. Understanding the computational demands and scalability of these techniques allows organisations to select practical, effective data-driven methods for planning and resource allocation.

Commercialisation angle

This work is relevant to enterprise supply chain managers and logistics software developers seeking more reliable inventory planning tools. Focused on algorithmic performance, computational efficiency, and scalability guidelines, the research represents an applied and tested stage of development. Organisations can use these comparative insights to implement Long Short-Term Memory models into digital inventory systems to improve stock control and operational resource deployment.

AI-generated from the published abstract. Always read the original work before citing.

Abstract

Accurate demand forecasting is key for companies to optimize inventory management and satisfy customer demand efficiently. This paper aims to Investigate on the application of generative AI models in demand forecasting. Two models were used: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks and Variational Autoencoder (VAE), and results were compared to select the optimal model in terms of performance and forecasting accuracy. The difference of actual and predicted demand values also ascertain LSTM’s ability to identify latent features and basic trends in the data. Further, some of the research works were focused on computational efficiency and scalability of the proposed methods for providing the guidelines to the companies for the implementation of the complicated techniques in demand forecasting. Based on these results, LSTM networks have a promising application in enhancing the demand forecasting and consequently helpful for the decision-making process regarding inventory control and other resource allocation.

Research topics

  • Forecasting Techniques and Applications
  • Energy Load and Power Forecasting
  • Stock Market Forecasting Methods

Read the original research

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DOI: 10.24294/jipd.v8i8.6639

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