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Investigation of changes in land use/land cover using principal component analysis and supervised classification from operational land imager satellite data: a case study of under developed regions, Pakistan

202421 citationsOpen accessAbdelmalek Essaâdi University

In plain language

Satellite imagery and geographic information systems were used to evaluate land use and land cover shifts in underdeveloped regions of Balochistan and Sindh in Pakistan between 2013 and 2023. By combining principal component analysis with supervised maximum likelihood classification on Landsat 8 data, the study achieved classification accuracies of over 94 per cent across the evaluated years. The findings reveal that water bodies contracted by 593.24 square kilometres and vegetation decreased by 68.50 square kilometres over the ten-year period. Conversely, settlement areas expanded by 385.66 square kilometres, alongside a 276.04 square kilometre increase in barren land. These trends highlight notable resource depletion alongside human expansion. The resulting insights offer baseline spatial evidence intended to support targeted initiatives for water infrastructure, land management, and sustainable agricultural development.

Key takeaways

  • Between 2013 and 2023, water bodies and vegetation decreased by 3.43 per cent and 0.40 per cent respectively across the studied areas.
  • Settlements grew by 2.23 per cent, and barren land increased by 1.60 per cent during the same ten-year period.
  • The combination of principal component analysis and maximum likelihood classification yielded high classification accuracy, reaching 95.75 per cent in 2023.
  • The analysis recommends governmental intervention to enhance water infrastructure and optimise land use to protect biodiversity and improve agricultural productivity.

Why it matters

Tracking changes in natural resources and human settlements helps decision-makers identify environmental decline, such as shrinking water supplies and expanding barren land. Accurate satellite mapping provides local authorities and planners with reliable evidence to protect vulnerable ecosystems, target investments in vital water infrastructure, and support sustainable food production in underdeveloped regions.

Commercialisation angle

The applied remote-sensing and analytical workflow represents an applied and tested methodology for environmental monitoring. The primary users indicated are government bodies, conservation planners, and land-resource managers seeking spatial data to direct infrastructure investments and natural resource policies. However, the abstract does not indicate a direct commercial product or an explicit private-sector commercialisation pathway.

AI-generated from the published abstract. Always read the original work before citing.

Abstract

Abstract Monitoring and understanding Land Use/Land Cover (LU/LC) is critical for sustainable development, as it can impact various environmental, social, and economic systems. For example, deforestation and land degradation can lead to soil erosion, loss of biodiversity, and greenhouse gas emissions, affecting the quality of soil, air, and water resources. The present research examined changes in (LU/LC) within the underdeveloped regions of Balochistan and Sindh provinces, which are situated in Pakistan. In order to monitor temporal variations of LU/LC, we employed Geographic Information System (GIS) technique, to conduct an analysis of satellite imagery obtained from the Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) during the time period spanning from 2013 to 2023. In order to obtain an accurate LU/LC classification, we used principal component analysis (PCA) and a supervised classification approach using the maximum likelihood algorithm (MLC). According to the results of our study, there was a decrease in the extent of water bodies (− 593.24 km 2 ) and vegetation (− 68.50 km 2 ) by − 3.43% and − 0.40% respectively. In contrast, the area occupied by settlements in the investigated region had a 2.23% rise, reaching a total of 385.66 square kilometers. Similarly, the extent of barren land also expanded by 1.60%, encompassing a total area of 276.04 square kilometers, during the course of the last decade. The overall accuracy (94.25% and 95.75%) and K value (91.75% and 93.50%) were achieved during the year 2013 and 2023 respectively. The enhancement of agricultural output in Pakistan is of utmost importance in order to improve the income of farmers, mitigate food scarcity, stimulate economic growth, and facilitate the expansion of exports. To enhance agricultural productivity, it is recommended that the government undertake targeted initiatives that aimed at enhancing water infrastructure and optimizing land use to foster a sustainable ecological framework. Integrating the sustainable ecological framework provides a foundation for informed decision-making and effective resource management. By identifying areas of urban expansion, agricultural intensification, or alterations in natural LU/LC, stakeholders can design targeted conservation strategies, mitigating potential environmental degradation and promoting biodiversity conservation. In conclusion, the integration of GIS and Remote Sensing (RS) may effectively facilitate the monitoring of land use patterns over a period of time. This combined approach offers valuable insights and recommendations for the judicious and optimal management of land resources, as well as informing policy decisions.

Research topics

  • Remote-Sensing Image Classification
  • Remote Sensing and Land Use
  • Remote Sensing in Agriculture

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DOI: 10.1007/s43621-024-00263-w

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