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Evaluating sustainable innovation pathways for climate-resilient growth in Ethiopia under climate and systemic challenges

2026Open accessAddis Ababa University

In plain language

Ethiopia faces severe climate risks, such as frequent droughts, irregular rainfall, and rising temperatures, which endanger food security and broader sustainable development. By assessing historical climate data from 1973 to 2020 alongside stakeholder surveys and national policy frameworks, research indicates that northern areas face drought recurrence every 1.8 to 2.3 years, alongside projected warming of up to 2.2 degrees Celsius over the next fifty years. Although significant barriers persist, including high implementation expenses, inadequate infrastructure, limited financing options, and bureaucratic hurdles, substantial opportunities exist. Ethiopia possesses abundant natural resources, a youthful demographic, and developing local initiatives. Scaling sustainable innovation across agriculture, renewable energy, and urban systems through integrated, multisectoral collaboration offers a viable pathway to support inclusive green growth and long-term climate resilience.

Key takeaways

  • Northern Ethiopia is projected to experience recurrent droughts every 1.8 to 2.3 years, alongside overall warming of up to 2.2 degrees Celsius over the next fifty years.
  • Major barriers to sustainable innovation include high costs, poor infrastructure, bureaucratic inefficiencies, and limited financing.
  • Opportunities for resilient growth are supported by abundant natural resources, a youthful population, and emerging local initiatives.
  • Integrated multisectoral collaboration across agriculture, renewable energy, and urban sectors is vital to scaling sustainable innovation.

Why it matters

Rising temperatures and intensifying droughts severely threaten food security and economic stability in developing nations. Identifying the systemic bottlenecks and opportunities for sustainable innovation helps policymakers, communities, and development partners direct resources into critical areas like agriculture, clean energy, and urban infrastructure to build long-term climate resilience.

Commercialisation angle

The research outlines application pathways for innovators and industry partners operating in renewable energy, sustainable agriculture, and urban planning. While highlighting strategic sectors, the work functions as high-level policy and systems research rather than product-specific technology development. It provides foundational evidence to guide early-stage climate adaptation projects and multisectoral initiatives, though specific technologies remain distant from immediate deployment without addressing existing infrastructure and financing barriers.

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Abstract

Abstract Ethiopia faces escalating climate risks, including recurrent droughts, erratic rainfall, rising temperatures, biodiversity loss, and freshwater scarcity, which threaten food security and sustainable development. This study investigates how sustainable innovation can serve as a pathway for climate-resilient growth by analysing climate data (1973–2020), stakeholder surveys across multiple regions, and policy frameworks such as Vision 2025 and the Climate Resilient Green Economy strategy. Results reveal increasing vulnerability, with projections of up to 2.2 °C warming over the next five decades and drought recurrence every 1.8–2.3 years in northern areas. Key barriers include high implementation costs, weak infrastructure, limited financing, and bureaucratic inefficiencies, while opportunities lie in Ethiopia’s abundant natural resources, youthful population, and emerging local initiatives. Drawing on global lessons, the study emphasizes integrated, multisectoral collaboration and systems thinking as critical to scaling sustainable innovation. It concludes that leveraging innovation in agriculture, renewable energy, and urban systems can foster inclusive green growth and long-term resilience.

Research topics

  • Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
  • Climate change impacts on agriculture
  • Climate Change and Health Impacts

Read the original research

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DOI: 10.1007/s43621-026-04024-9

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