A Systematic Review of Historical Temperature Data Use in Citrus Quality Assessment for Export Supply Chains

Abstract

Global citrus exports rely heavily on temperature-controlled logistics to safeguard fruit quality and minimise postharvest losses. Temperature management remains a critical factor governing citrus quality throughout export logistics. Yet the extent to which historical shipment temperature data can meaningfully predict fruit condition at arrival has never been systematically assessed. This study presents a comprehensive review of how historical temperature records have been used to assess citrus quality within export supply chains, highlighting the lack of longitudinal temperature-quality correlations in existing research. Using PRISMA 2020 guidelines and Kitchenham's three-phase review framework, 35 relevant peer-reviewed articles published between 2013 and 2025 were analysed. Bibliometric mapping identified dominant research concentrations in experimental cold chain studies and simulation-based approaches, with emerging themes around digital twins and virtual cold chain technologies. The review shows that current research predominantly employs controlled experimental designs and computational simulations to quantify temperature-driven deterioration, including chilling injury, decay rate, and weight loss. Although real-time temperature monitoring in commercial shipments is emerging, temperature deviations are rarely assessed alongside direct quality metrics. Although several studies have examined shipment temperatures alongside arrival-quality outcomes, these analyses are generally limited in duration, scope, or sensor resolution. Consequently, rigorous, multi-year, longitudinal datasets that pair detailed shipment temperature histories with standardised fruit-quality assessments remain largely unavailable, constraining the empirical validation of temperature-quality relationships in real export conditions. This gap significantly limits predictive capability in real-world export contexts. The review highlights the urgent need for a coordinated, long-term data infrastructure that integrates temperature and quality measurements across global citrus supply chains. Establishing such datasets, particularly in major exporting regions such as South Africa, would enable more robust modelling of temperature impacts, support the optimisation of cold chain practices, and contribute to international food loss-reduction goals.