A protocol for modeling the factors influencing the deployment of the COVID-19 vaccine across African countries

Abstract

Evidence fails to capture disparities amongst African countries in terms of the measure of administered COVID-19 vaccine doses per 100 people. Assessment of data on doses secured, administered, and supplied was undertaken to investigate quantitative measures that impacted COVID-19 vaccine deployment, thereby emphasizing distribution and supply indicators. We employ a full linear regression to identify independent variables that have an impact on vaccination rates, including macroeconomic indicators such as World Bank Income Classification, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and various indices such as Health Access and Quality Index, Human Development Index, Global Peace Index, Education Index, Political Stability Index and Government Effectiveness. This analysis aims to construct a statistical model utilizing regression analysis to identify key drivers of COVID-19 vaccine deployment in Africa and offer insights into vaccination disparities in the continent. Recognizing the global importance of achieving high vaccination rates, the study sheds light on specific challenges faced by individual countries within Africa, thereby emphasizing the need for tailored efforts. Beyond COVID-19, the research contributes to understanding the relationship between vaccination rates and social indicators that, potentially impact broader public health concerns and global vaccination programs. This study provides a foundation for informed policymaking to enhance vaccine accessibility, inform targeted programs, and improve individual health systems, thereby addressing broader implications for global health.